Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCS: 45 · v5

Severe Weather near Rexburg

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 6 km from here.

This alert is in force until 18 September 2026, 08:30 UTC.

It is the strongest of the 68 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 17 at 10:25PM MDT until September 18 at 2:30AM MDT by NWS Pocatello ID

Urban PEI: 86,847 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)45 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.86/1
Coordinates43.7176, -111.8029
Nearest CityRexburg (13 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)86.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-09-18T04:25:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.93078e77102b8b9b82d4302ef06a553e5eb3ffdb.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-18T04:25:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-18T04:28:53.828Z. Material modification: 2026-09-18T04:50:56.873Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-18T05:55:11.976Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-18T05:49:49.334Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-18T05:44:28.231Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-18T05:39:08.088Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-18T05:28:25.279Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-18T05:23:05.155Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-18T05:17:42.696Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  8. 2026-09-18T05:12:22.243Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  9. 2026-09-18T05:07:00.478Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  10. 2026-09-18T05:01:38.662Z · data_change

    Index 4545; severity highhigh; version 55.

  11. 2026-09-18T04:50:56.873Z · data_change

    Index 3245; severity mediumhigh; version 55.

  12. 2026-09-18T04:45:36.618Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  13. 2026-09-18T04:39:44.233Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  14. 2026-09-18T04:34:24.926Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescJefferson, ID; Madison, ID; Bonneville, ID; Jefferson, ID; Madison, ID
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued September 17 at 10:25PM MDT until September 18 at 2:30AM MDT by NWS Pocatello ID
Expires2026-09-18T02:30:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Pocatello ID
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.93078e77102b8b9b82d4302ef06a553e5eb3ffdb.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.521ca0b82a64c4cd10076caa161c02fe14a7c92f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a28789e61ad4c02368d41a4d7cfa6b2009bd536a.001.1"]
Spc ReportTypehail
Spc Speed100
Spc LocationFirth
Spc CountyBingham
Spc StateID
Spc Comments(PIH)
MergedSources[{"id":"spc_wind_43.72_-112.53_5","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1789710692745,"latitude":43.72,"longitude":-112.53},{"id":"spc_hail_43.19_-112.33_13","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1789700400000,"latitude":43.19,"longitude":-112.33},{"id":"spc_hail_43.22_-112.37_14","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1789701300000,"latitude":43.22,"longitude":-112.37},{"id":"spc_hail_43.31_-112.18_15","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1789702500000,"latitude":43.31,"longitude":-112.18}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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